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發表於 14-10-2012 07:22:46 | 顯示全部樓層

land transfer income adjustment distribution system

Aquarter  ,policy effect  continues to show  ,economy picks up  limits to expand ceaselessly  ,external demand  situation to improve,  economic growth  basically  returned to  normal  growth interval  .
However  ,the entity economy  new  point of growth  has not been formed,  economic growth momentum  has not yet been achieved  by  the pull of the external policy  to market  internal  drive conversion  ,external  demand picks up  the foundation is not solid  .
At the same time  ,the structural contradiction  and potential  risks become more prominent  ,the debt risk of local government  continues to accumulate  ,partial  city  price bubble  rapid  expansion  ,input  price pressures  continue to increase  ,economic growth in the second half  facing  increased uncertainty  .
This year the economy  may    before tall hind low    on  the United States  sub-loan crisis  mechanism  ,it  very clear  .In the real estate bubble  growing  situation,  residents  tend to  real estate  the unilateral revaluation anticipated  as collateral  to bank loans  ,based on the same  optimistic expectations  banking also  dare to  large-scale  made subprime loans  ,results  ,when the real estate market  appears to reverse  time,  household  cash flow  fracture  ,secondary  housing loan  number  default  ,personal  debt risk  to  the financial system  accumulate  ,eventually led to  a massive financial crisis  .
Current local government  financing  status and  American  subprime mortgage crisis  facing  economic environment  is not exactly the same,  but the situation  is similar to some,  a common feature  is the real estate market  reversal  will  cut  the borrower  cash flow  ,is different  in  the United States of America  real estate  bubble burst  by the residents  of family  financial institutions to  transfer  risk  ,and  in  Chinese  local  land transfer income  substantially reduced  by  local government  financial institutions to  transfer  risk  .
In 2009  the  new  $9,burberry.6  loan  ,how many  money into  all levels of  local government financing platform  ,air jordan pas cher,there is no precise  data  .But  according to the  count  ,in the  last  19 national  trillion  investment in fixed assets in urban area  ,the central public  investment of less than  $1  ,the land transfer revenues  for the  $1.
42  in  private investment  ,energy  shortage situation,  the bank  funds into the  local investment and financing  platform  number  should be  in the minority  ,supra.At present,  the  Hubei  province  is announced to the society  12  trillion investment  plan,  Chongqing also announced  trillion investment plan  ,be just unfolding  around  investment competition  .
Once the real estate market  reversal  ,local government cash  flow problems  ,financial risk  to  banks  ,there will be  the currency of the credit  and the real economy    relay  double contraction  ,be not easily won  the  good  situation will  lose after having got it  .
The  debt risk of local government  and  the banking system  financial  risk problem is  very outstanding  ,must immediately begin to  regulate local  investment and financing behavior  ,air jordan pas cher.In this case  ,can be predicted  by the  local government to promote the  investment growth rate  will decline  over the same period last year  ,with  the main economic data    after the former high-low  special factors  ,economy moves this year  may  occur throughout the year    before tall hind low    .
The current interest rate  is not desirable  at present,  the real estate bubble  and  the issue of local government debt  at the same time,  protruding shows  is not accidental  ,doudoune moncler.The land revenue  and real  estate prices  closely tied together,  as long as the real  estate prices continued to rise  ,huge amounts of  land assignment income  will be the place where  massive government  investment expenditure  and debt repayment  stable source  ,michael kors.
Instead,  once the real estate  bubbles  was Pierce,  real estate  prices  ,moncler,land  transfer income  is greatly reduced  ,moncler,and  the bank debt  chain will be  broken,  the local government  ,banks  ,developers will be  damaged  ,so  are not willing to  put real  housing prices down,  this is the real estate  price  adjustment is not  the main reason  for a long time  under  .
Since last year  ,in  a loose monetary policy,  because  the real economy has not yet been  the emergence of new growth  points  ,air jordan,large amounts of funds  into the real estate  investment  links and  retail sectors,  the first quarter of this year,  the national real estate investment  growth  35.
1%  ,commercial housing  sales  growth of 35.8% area  .In the part of  city  ,the real estate market  unilateral revaluation anticipated  evoked  widespread  speculation  behavior  ,individual  first-tier cities  new commodity  housing sales price  even more than 60%  ,real estate prices  soar  ,abercormbie paris.
In this case  ,the real estate bubble  does bigger more  ,abercrombie paris,true  since residents living  needs  to accelerate  by  extrusion  ,has become the  economic development and social stability of the  important  hidden danger  .
Real estate bubble  and inflation expectation  coexist,  the traditional  control method  is the  interest rate hike  ,fundamentally change  the  cost-benefit structure of  speculative funds  ,but  this approach  is not  desirable  .
The substantial increase in interest rates  may be  a sharp tightening  real estate developers  cash flow  ,reducing  the supply of real estate  ,and further strengthen the  real estate market  demand contradictions  ,but also  greatly improve the  real estate developers  and local government financing  cost  ,promote the  credit risk to the  financial  system  accumulate  .
Recently,  the State Council  issued  a series of real estate regulatory policy  implementation  ,including  differential  interest rate loans  ,tax regulation  ,affordable housing  ,the government accountability  inside a series of policy  measures  ,the real estate market  speculation  precision strike  ,www.christianelouboutinfrance.com,this structural  adjustment  strategy  is scientific  .
However  ,real estate issues  and local  government  revenue  and taxation systems  problems  are closely linked,  not moving  system  ,not to change the  mechanism  can not  fundamentally solve the problem  ,should immediately  start  including the establishment of  property  tax and local  tax source  ,stable  to issue local government bond  ,reforming the institution of land requisition  ,land transfer  income  adjustment  distribution system  ,reform package  .
Otherwise  ,if  continue to be the  real estate prices  with  local direct  income,  real estate  market is difficult to  maintain  long-term healthy  development  .Inflation  should not be  overall tightening of  one quarter of  the resident consumption price rises 2.
2%  ,a month by month  to accelerate the  trend  ,in March rose by 2.4%  ,in addition to  Chilling Icy Rain and snow weather  factors leading to  fresh  fruit  and other  food prices  and the  tail factor  outside  ,a very main reason is  the international bulk commodity price  shocks higher  increased  input bloating  pressure  ,these pressures  are currently  through the  energy and raw materials  ,factory prices of industrial products  -  final consumption goods  this chain  progressive conduction  .
From the previous  situation,  because our  ultimate  consumer goods market  has been oversupply  ,this kind of cost  drive  transmission  dynamics and the effect  is also very difficult to say  ,I  most  price factors  but also from  production enterprise  interior to digest  ,abercrombie.
In a  crisis  situation,  monetary policy is  interlinked  ,inflation  is not necessarily  to  raise interest rates  to solve  ,www.burberryssoldesmagasin.com.Overall tightening  of  demand pull inflation  targeted,  on  imported inflation  had little impact  ,air jordan,respond poorly  but will  crunch  folk  investment  .
Hot money  is  a  three-pronged  governance since the  quarterly  ,loan  is still growing fast  .In March,  foreign exchange loans  of $10100000000,  and last month  .As of the end of 3  ,foreign exchange  loan to deposit  ratio up to 191.
5%  .The  influx of hot money in  China  ,mainly  to  three kind of income  :one is  the United States  and other western countries  political pressure  brought about by  the anticipation of RMB appreciation  ,franklin marshall;two  is the domestic real  estate  market  is expected to rise  ;three is  forced to raise interest rates  brought about by the  people  currency  arbitrage expectations  .
The current  external  environment remains  complex and austere  task is arduous  ,stabilize external demand  ,exchange rate  should be kept  stable  ;in  the real estate market to  resolutely crack down on  investment behavior  ,supra shoes,to  squeeze the bubble,  curb speculative  expectation  ;interest rate  should remain stable  ,reduce arbitrage space  ,franklin and marshall.
At present,  the real estate bubble  ,the issue of local government debt  ,inflation  ,RMB appreciation  problem interweaves together  ,michael kors outlet,structural sex contradiction  and potential  risk highlights  ,Moncler Sito Ufficiale,must consider as a whole,  properly handle  .
Next,  should  according to the new situation and  continue to improve  pertinence and  flexibility  ,with  structural  methods,  avoid  full  rate  and  gross constrictive  ,further consolidate the economic  turnaround  situation  as soon as possible  ,the launch of a new round of  tax  system  reform in key areas  ,increase national  income adjustment strength  ,accelerate breed  mainly by  consumer  guide  (  ,)  point of growth  .
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1% over the same period ,a record high of three years ,raw materials ,fuel ,power purchase prices rose 8.9% ,from another angle to reflect the cost of industrial production more and more pressure .
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